Titlebook: Expert Judgment and Expert Systems; Jeryl L. Mumpower (Associate Professor),Ortwin Ren Conference proceedings 1987 Springer-Verlag Berlin

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Uwe Altrock,Nico Grunze,Sigrun Kabisch member, but there is little evidence available to suggest that the quality of collective judgment is substantially improved by any particular method of aggregation (Rohrbaugh, 1979, 1981). Fischer (1981) has concluded:

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Untersuchung eines Venturi-Messers,y as an argument for selling their product. Expert systems have become a symbol in our modern society, yet most members of this society have little idea of the reality behind the symbol. A firm will use “Expert Systems” to indicate the outstanding character of its ability to keep pace in the modern business world.

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The Use of Causal Knowledge for Inferential Reasoninghold in 25 years and which of these services will be supplied by state and industry. We ask social science experts to predict the effects of such techniques and services. While most expect a growth in these techniques and services, they disagree about their effects on social contacts, creativity among the young, and feelings of state control.

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Common Sense Knowledge in Expert Systemsal successfully with such domains, expert systems must have common sense knowledge. Common sense is an open domain. So every attempt of a symbolic representation is bound to be incomplete. Nevertheless, the presented examples show that there are some aspects that can be approached by Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods. Among them are:

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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-28530-4ve reason [35]; Freud [10] as secondary versus primary process thinking; and Hobbes [14] as thought with or without “designe.” More recently the division has been referred to as directed versus autistic thinking [4] and operant versus respondent thought [16]. The terms Varendinck [33] uses for the d

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Gro?forschung mit kleinen Teilchentional difficulties. Government officials, industry executives, and scientific experts often complain that laypeople do not understand technical risk information. Individual citizens and representatives of public groups are often equally frustrated, perceiving government and industry officials to be