Titlebook: Unconventional Conflict; A Modeling Perspecti Dean S. Hartley III Book 2017 Springer International Publishing AG 2017 Defining Unconvention

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Modeling Research,lar early entry was Asimov’s psychohistory (Asimov, 1951). The concept was an analog of the gas laws of physics: although the motion of a particular molecule of gas is essentially random, when large enough numbers of gas molecules are present, the actions of the mass of gas molecules can be predicte

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Verification, Validation, and Accreditation,itation (VV&A) (Box, 1979). Together, they are meant to answer the question of whether a model is useful (for a given purpose). In this chapter, we define and discuss the terms and the practice of VV&A as it has applied to combat models and to models of unconventional conflict. In the process, we de

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Conclusion,to modeling unconventional conflict at the theater level up to this point. However, as has been made clear in the body of the book, there is much that needs to be learned, particularly regarding the social theories that must drive the estimates of outcomes of unconventional conflict activities.

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Descriptions of Unconventional Conflict, The earlier accounts of various types of operations cited in this chapter are more frequently purely descriptive. Later accounts incorporate analysis and some modeling, indicating a growth in understanding.

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