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Titlebook: Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision Making; The Case of Turkey’s Imran Demir Book 2017 The Editor(s) (if applicable)

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樓主
發(fā)表于 2025-3-21 16:49:12 | 只看該作者 |倒序瀏覽 |閱讀模式
書目名稱Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision Making
副標(biāo)題The Case of Turkey’s
編輯Imran Demir
視頻videohttp://file.papertrans.cn/706/705240/705240.mp4
概述Offers a unique perspective on decision making in foreign policy, focusing on patterns of risk taking that deviate from generally risk averse decision makers.Focuses on a particularly timely and relev
圖書封面Titlebook: Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision Making; The Case of Turkey’s Imran Demir Book 2017 The Editor(s) (if applicable)
描述This book introduces a new perspective on risk seeking behaviour, developing a framework based on various cognitive theories, and applying it to the specific case-study of Turkey’s foreign policy toward Syria. The author examines why policy makers commit themselves to polices that they do not have the capacity to deliver, and develops an alternative theoretical model to prospect theory in explaining risk taking behaviour based on the concept of overconfidence. The volume suggests that overconfident individuals exhibit risk seeking behaviour that contradicts the risk averse behaviour of individuals in the domain of gain, as predicted by prospect theory. Using a set of testable hypothesis deduced from the model, it presents an empirical investigation of the causes behind Turkish decision makers’ unprecedented level of risk taking toward the uprising in Syria and the consequences of this policy.
出版日期Book 2017
關(guān)鍵詞Foreign Policy; Decision making; Overconfidence; Risk Taking; Turkish policy; Conflict in Syria; Cognitive
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-52605-8
isbn_softcover978-3-319-84944-7
isbn_ebook978-3-319-52605-8
copyrightThe Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2017
The information of publication is updating

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沙發(fā)
發(fā)表于 2025-3-21 23:05:02 | 只看該作者
The Relevant Literature on Past Outcomes, Overconfidence and Risk Taking,he relation between past outcomes overconfidence and risk taking. The chapter begins with a discussion of the conceptual foundations of overconfidence bias and its manifestations; and then, it proceeds with a discussion of the relation between past outcomes and overconfidence bias. It shows how the
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地板
發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 06:59:03 | 只看該作者
The Turkish Policy to Remove Syrian President Assad: Overconfidence Obscures Risks and Magnifies Fa highly positive performance perception in past decisions on subsequent risk-taking behavior. Specifically, I examine the causes behind and the consequences of Turkish decision makers’ unprecedented level of risk taking in the course of uprising in Syria. The chapter begins with a brief historical b
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 15:36:54 | 只看該作者
Conclusion, to bear on this argument. It also highlights what has been accomplished, the significance of the work and its implications for future research. It underscores being the first study to model overconfidence in foreign policy decision making and to apply the model to understand one of the most controv
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 17:31:00 | 只看該作者
sich an Germanisten, klassische Philologen, Medi?visten sowiIn sechs Kapiteln geht das Buch der Rezeption von lateinischer Literatur der Antike und des Mittelalters durch deutsche Autoren namentlich des 19. und 20. Jahrhunderts nach. Erz?hlt werden Geschichten von einem unbeachtet gebliebenen Fortle
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