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Titlebook: Economic Information, Decision, and Prediction; Selected Essays: Vol Jacob Marschak Book 1974 D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holl

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發(fā)表于 2025-3-28 16:00:46 | 只看該作者
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-28 20:00:21 | 只看該作者
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-85496-5 his review of Luce’s book (1959). Let . denote the set of all possible alternatives from among which a subject might be required to choose. For any finite subset . of . (we call . the ‘offered set’) and any alternative . in ., let .(.) denote the probability that the subject, when choosing among th
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-29 01:20:34 | 只看該作者
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-29 04:40:57 | 只看該作者
Rui Jiang,Xuegong Zhang,Michael Q. Zhangcertainty. This will be recognized by economists as a natural extension of the problem facing a producer, consumer, investor (or, for that matter, a government agency) under uncertainty. It is also in the spirit of some modern logicians. Ramsey (1926, 1928) and von Wright (1963) have, in a sense, ex
45#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-29 07:37:04 | 只看該作者
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7091-0324-1ing maximized. Moreover, since the opponent’s response or the future in general is uncertain, the player does not know a unique result of his strategy but rather expects various possible results, some with greater, some will smaller degrees of belief or ‘(subjective) probabilities’.
46#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-29 14:49:17 | 只看該作者
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-97115-0(2) a decision rule associating each message with an act. The givens of the problem are: the probability distribution on the states of the world, and the utility yielded by each combination of act and state, taking account of message costs.
47#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-29 17:38:01 | 只看該作者
48#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-29 21:19:03 | 只看該作者
Chemistry of Mustard Compounds,uidity under uncertainty (Essay 35) the principle of ‘minimax regret’ was used. This and various other competing principles were surveyed by R. Radner and J. Marschak (1954). Expected utility (of decisions with outcomes not necessarily monetary or numerical) is introduced in Essay 1 of Part One on t
49#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-30 01:42:15 | 只看該作者
Rui Jiang,Xuegong Zhang,Michael Q. Zhangrking in Ramsey’s spirit, in order to understand the relation between the probabilities that the maker of decisions (including predictions) uses, and the frequencies he has observed. Harrod refers at length and, on balance, critically to Carnap’s duality of ‘probability.’ and ‘probability.’. The lat
50#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-30 07:19:36 | 只看該作者
Measuring Utility by a Single-Response Sequential Method (1964)
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