Titlebook: Developments in Demographic Forecasting; Stefano Mazzuco,Nico Keilman Book‘‘‘‘‘‘‘‘ 2020 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 20

發(fā)現(xiàn)

禁令

New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Ageing,anderson and Scherbov 2019). Population ageing can be measured in different ways. An example of this can found in the UN’s .. One way is to report on the forecasted increase in the number of people 60+ years old in the world.

COUCH

1877-2560 and codes available for selected chapters.This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for?forecasting evaluation ar

倔強(qiáng)不能

employor

Coherent Mortality Forecasting with Standards: Low Mortality Serves as a Guide,erall accuracy or performance of mortality forecasting has improved since Lee and Carter (1992) introduced stochastic forecasting of mortality to the demographic community, and further improvements can undoubtedly be made.

名義上

absolve

Handbook of Clinical Nutrition and Agingbe useful for projection makers looking to adopt a formal approach to eliciting expert judgments, or for producing probabilistic projections, where it is necessary to obtain plausible estimates of uncertainty for components of population growth.

知識(shí)分子

Insufficient

MURKY

Introduction,olume. We discuss deterministic and probabilistic approaches to forecast uncertainty, Bayesian and frequentist perspectives, the role of experts compared to purely data driven methods, and ways to communicate forecast results to the users.