| 書目名稱 | Climate Change and Policy | | 副標(biāo)題 | The Calculability of | | 編輯 | Gabriele Gramelsberger,Johann Feichter | | 視頻video | http://file.papertrans.cn/228/227498/227498.mp4 | | 概述 | Discussion of most important topic in current climate research Bridges the gap between climate modellers and policy-/decision makers Calculability of uncertainty and its influence on society.Includes | | 圖書封面 |  | | 描述 | .The debate on how mankind should respond to climate change is diverse, as the appropriate strategy depends on global as well as local circumstances..As scientists are denied the possibility of conducting experiments with the real climate, only climate models can give insights into man-induced climate change, by experimenting with digital climates under varying conditions and by extrapolating past and future states into the future. .But the ‘nature’ of models is a purely representational one. A model is good if it is believed to represent the relevant processes of a natural system well. However, a model and its results, in particular in the case of climate models which interconnect countless hypotheses, is only to some extent testable, although an advanced infrastructure of evaluation strategies has been developed involving strategies of model intercomparison, ensemble prognoses, uncertainty metrics on the system and component levels. The complexity of climate models goes hand in hand with uncertainties, but uncertainty is in conflict with socio-political expectations. However, certain predictions belong to the realm of desires and ideals rather than to applied science. Today’s att | | 出版日期 | Book 2011 | | 關(guān)鍵詞 | Climate Research; Computer Based Research; Environmental Policy; Environmental Sciences; Meteorology; Soc | | 版次 | 1 | | doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-17700-2 | | isbn_softcover | 978-3-642-43962-9 | | isbn_ebook | 978-3-642-17700-2 | | copyright | Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2011 |
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