| 期刊全稱 | Acting under Uncertainty | | 期刊簡稱 | Multidisciplinary Co | | 影響因子2023 | George M. Furstenberg | | 視頻video | http://file.papertrans.cn/145/144109/144109.mp4 | | 學科分類 | Theory and Decision Library A: | | 圖書封面 |  | | 影響因子 | Uncertainty could be associated with wisdom, enterprise, and discovery. In ordinary speech, however, it has mostly negative connotations. There is "fear of the unknown" and "ignorance is bliss;" there are maxims to the effect that "what you don‘t know doesn‘t hurt you" (or: "bother you") in several languages. This volume suggests that we need be bothered by the excessive confidence with which scientists, particularly social scientists, present some of their conclusions and overstate their range of application. Otherwise many of the questions that should be raised about all the major uncertainties attending a particular issue routinely may continue to be thwarted or suppressed. Down playing uncertainty does not lead to more responsible or surer action, it sidetracks research agendas, and leaves the decision makers exposed to nasty surprise. This volume demonstrates that recognizing the many forms of uncertainty that enter into the development of any particular subject matter is a precondition for more responsible choice and deeper knowledge. Our purpose is to contribute to a broader appreciation of uncertainty than regularly accorded in any of the numerous disciplines represented he | | Pindex | Book 1990 |
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