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Titlebook: What About the Future?; New Perspectives on Fred Phillips Book 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019 Theory of forecasting.Risk and unc

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發(fā)表于 2025-3-27 00:25:16 | 只看該作者
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-27 03:14:18 | 只看該作者
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-27 05:52:10 | 只看該作者
Analytics and the Future,athematical abilities. Beginning with explanations of linear, logistic (s-shaped), and exponential growth, the chapter notes the limits to growth and where they apply. It introduces the “reaction curve” that for an industry incumbent mirrors the well-known “hype curve.” Following a discussion of pri
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-27 13:25:55 | 只看該作者
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-27 14:53:29 | 只看該作者
Expertise and the Future,nce, and that theory’s implications for the kinds of expertise that must be sought, and developed. It describes the accession of the knowledge economy, noting traditional capitalists’ resistance to this shift, and the further resistance due to traditions of anti-intellectualism. The tendency of expe
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-28 04:19:00 | 只看該作者
2570-1509 to revisit the concept and understanding of the future.Helps.This book closely examines the concept and theory of ‘future‘ from a multidisciplinary perspective, focusing on the practice of forecasting, especially in its interaction with complexity. It highlights the relations between forecasting, de
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-28 07:17:27 | 只看該作者
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-28 12:09:23 | 只看該作者
Complexity and the Future,inent thinkers, the chapter shows that being attached to simple solutions to complex problems is psychologically maladaptive—as is (on the other hand) becoming so lost in complexity that one never reaches a decision.
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