標(biāo)題: Titlebook: Judgment in Predictive Analytics; Matthias Seifert Book 2023 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to S [打印本頁] 作者: 獨(dú)裁者 時(shí)間: 2025-3-21 16:48
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作者: Pert敏捷 時(shí)間: 2025-3-21 21:40
Beyond Algorithm Aversion in Human-Machine Decision-Makingte and the augmented decision-making literature before defining algorithm aversion, its implications, and its antecedents. Finally, we conclude with proposals to improve methods and metrics to help guide the development of human-machine decision-making.作者: 獸皮 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 03:37
Book 2023judgment-based predictive analytics. In recent years, technological advancements have made it possible to use predictive analytics to exploit highly complex (big) data resources. Consequently, modern forecasting methodologies are based on sophisticated algorithms from the domain of machine learning 作者: 幻影 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 05:37
Subjective Decisions in Developing Augmented Intelligencedecision types we encountered, their importance and how they influenced the overall development outcome. Our discussion aims to make a contribution on the subjective nature of many decisions underpinning the development of intelligent augmentation.作者: 尖 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 11:42 作者: 偽善 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 16:42
Judgmental Interventions and Behavioral Changethe experts’ adjustments increase in size once they are informed that a subsequent adjustment takes place; one that essentially halves the expert adjustment. In other words, participants in our experiment try to mitigate for that further adjustment and retain the ownership of the final forecasts.作者: 抑制 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 19:22
978-3-031-30087-5The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerl作者: 金哥占卜者 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 00:37
Judgment in Predictive Analytics978-3-031-30085-1Series ISSN 0884-8289 Series E-ISSN 2214-7934 作者: Invertebrate 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 03:01 作者: 效果 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 07:12 作者: CROAK 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 13:38
International Series in Operations Research & Management Sciencehttp://image.papertrans.cn/j/image/501390.jpg作者: grounded 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 14:37 作者: foppish 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 18:20 作者: LANCE 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 23:07
Judgmental Selection of Forecasting Models (Reprint)election against a standard algorithm based on information criteria. We also examined the efficacy of a judgmental model-build approach, in which experts were asked to decide on the existence of the structural components (trend and seasonality) of the time series instead of directly selecting a mode作者: GENUS 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 04:54
Effective Judgmental Forecasting in the Context of Fashion Products (Reprint)is of practical importance in this setting. Our goal is to investigate what type of decision support, in particular historical and/or contextual predictors, should be provided to human forecasters to improve their ability to detect and exploit linear and nonlinear cue-criterion relationships in the 作者: 清晰 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 09:55 作者: 使增至最大 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 12:07
Talent Spotting in Crowd PredictionRecent research on superforecasting has demonstrated the importance of individual, persistent skill in crowd prediction. This chapter takes stock of skill identification measures in probability estimation tasks, and complements the review with original analyses, comparing such measures directly with作者: Ledger 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 16:59
Performance-Weighted Aggregation: Ferreting Out Wisdom Within the Crowdn sharing and signal strength?while cancelling out biases and noise. The resulting?judgment is more accurate than the average accuracy of the individual?judgments—a phenomenon known as the .. Although an unweighted arithmetic average is often sufficient to improve judgment accuracy, sophisticated pe作者: BLA 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 20:25
The Wisdom of Timely Crowds expect that as time passes, and information relevant to the event resolution accrues, the accuracy of individual forecasts will improve. For example, we expect forecasts about stock prices on a given date to be more accurate as that date approaches, or forecasts about sport tournament winners to be作者: defray 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 23:38 作者: 冒號 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 06:59
Incorporating External Factors into Time Series Forecaststernal events can disturb the historical timeline significantly and add complexity. But not all external events are the same. Here, we first provide a taxonomy of external events in the context of forecasting from time series by classifying both the properties of the events themselves and the charac作者: Inkling 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 09:35 作者: CHASM 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 14:34 作者: 嘲笑 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 17:15
hts the ethical considerations of fairness in international .This book arises out of papers delivered at the World Congress of the International Society of Business, Economics and Ethics (ISBEE) held in Cape Town in 2008. There are two sections.?First, a number of key papers provide an insight into 作者: 染色體 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 20:44
Jason W. Burton,Mari-Klara Stein,Tina Blegind Jensenuld be noted that most of the suggestions for integrating concepts of fairness or developing an integrative approach are based on integrating components of organizational justice. Therefore, a significant portion of this review will be devoted to examining the literature that has applied the integra作者: 任意 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 02:58 作者: 無王時(shí)期, 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 04:54 作者: 游行 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 10:57 作者: 古董 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 15:44 作者: synovitis 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 16:51
uld be noted that most of the suggestions for integrating concepts of fairness or developing an integrative approach are based on integrating components of organizational justice. Therefore, a significant portion of this review will be devoted to examining the literature that has applied the integra作者: 使迷醉 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 21:07
Pavel Atanasov,Mark Himmelsteinuld be noted that most of the suggestions for integrating concepts of fairness or developing an integrative approach are based on integrating components of organizational justice. Therefore, a significant portion of this review will be devoted to examining the literature that has applied the integra作者: archenemy 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 01:47
Robert N. Collins,David R. Mandel,David V. BudescuAs described in the previous chapter, some of them have dealt with organizational justice and its components. This chapter, however, goes beyond organizational justice alone and looks at the relationships among the components of fairness that do not include just the dimensions of organizational just作者: 滲透 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 07:43
Mark Himmelstein,David V. Budescu,Ying HanPS, it is important to review the concept of organizational politics, of which POPS is one ingredient. Organizational politics emerged as an area of considerable interest to groups ranging from behavioral scientists to the general public. However, more academic attention has been devoted to organiza作者: 尋找 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 11:55 作者: 修飾 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 14:31 作者: Diuretic 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 20:31 作者: 極深 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 22:43
Efrain Rosemberg Montesh im Privatleben oder anderen gesellschaftlichen Kontexten. Psychologisch werden vier Dimensionen von Gerechtigkeit unterschieden und zwar Verteilungs- und Prozessgerechtigkeit, interpersonale und informationale Gerechtigkeit. Diese haben einen differentiellen Einfluss auf menschliches Erleben und V作者: doxazosin 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 02:47
Effective Judgmental Forecasting in the Context of Fashion Products (Reprint) identify two novel interactions demonstrating that the exploitation of nonlinearities is easiest for human judgment if contextual data are present but historical data are absent. Thus, if the role of human judgment is to detect these nonlinearities (and the linearities are taken care of by some sta作者: 礦石 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 09:33 作者: Gentry 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 10:49
Performance-Weighted Aggregation: Ferreting Out Wisdom Within the Crowdd potential drawbacks. In this chapter, we review the evidence for-and-against performance?weighting strategies, discussing the circumstances in which they are appropriate and beneficial?to apply. We describe how to implement these methods, with a focus on mathematical functions and formulas that tr作者: CYN 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 15:29
The Wisdom of Timely Crowdsasting competition, where volunteer non-professional forecasters predicted multiple geopolitical events with time horizons of several weeks or months, as well as data from the European Central Bank’s Survey of Professional Forecasters which includes only a few select macroeconomic indices, but much 作者: EXCEL 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 21:52
Supporting Judgment in Predictive Analytics: Scenarios and Judgmental Forecastsan underestimation of the extent of uncertainty associated with forecasts, but a greater acceptance of model-based point predictions. These findings are generally supported by the results of a behavioral experiment that we report. This study was used to examine the effects of scenario tone and extre作者: 鑲嵌細(xì)工 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 23:01
Incorporating External Factors into Time Series Forecastsre now analytical techniques that enable disturbances caused by external events to be incorporated into time series forecasting. Some of these models are transparent: the features of the data that they extract and the way in which they are processed is made explicit. Other models, particularly those作者: 助記 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 06:17 作者: constellation 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 08:34 作者: –FER 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 11:47 作者: 健談 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 18:21 作者: 愚蠢人 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 23:05
s of their CEO compensation based on the suggested framework. Moreover, the author also provides a survey template to help businesses investigate theiremployees’ perception of the fairness of their CEO’s compensation..978-3-030-33556-4978-3-030-33554-0Series ISSN 1431-1941 Series E-ISSN 2197-716X 作者: defray 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 03:01 作者: 構(gòu)成 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 04:06
Correction to: Performance-Weighted Aggregation: Ferreting Out Wisdom Within the Crowd,作者: 高原 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 11:33
0884-8289 remainder of the book is divided into three parts, with Part I focusing on the role of individual-level judgment in the design and utilization of algorithmic models. The respective chapters cover individual-lev978-3-031-30087-5978-3-031-30085-1Series ISSN 0884-8289 Series E-ISSN 2214-7934
